The senator's pumping behavior from California was reinforced by powerful new endorsement by the iconic Union of Farmers. However, much of the buzz this weekend among activist delegates and guests gathered in Long Beach to hear from eight presidential candidates centered on her political future – and whether it might be time to step down from the race, instead of facing potential humiliation. in her home state primary.
After the spectacular launch of the campaign in January in front of 22,000 in her hometown of Oakland, Harris – once proclaimed a top-level contender – has been surrounded by low-profile polls and declared campaign reports marked by flash strategy, mixed messaging, and mixed messages.
Harris's loyal activist base, which calls itself K-Basket, has not lost any passion and momentum since those early days. They chanted her name this weekend, waving "Kamala Harris for the People" signs and expressing anger and frustration over growing media reports of her political collapse.
And early supporters such as admirer Gavin Newsom and Lieutenant General Eleni Kounalakis insisted that Harris remain a candidate whose fortune is far from settled in a volatile race.
But in the Long Beach Convention Center meeting rooms and rooms, many Democratic gun insiders – strategists, elected officials, campaign operatives – had a far more auspicious look at her chances, suggesting Harris' team had already let go. shot her away at the White House.
With polls in California claiming she may not win, place – or even show – in her home state, many have privately expressed the view that Harris should start seriously considering leaving the race to avoid total embarrassment early on. March in the state. Its continued weakness in the presidential race could even have a devastating effect, several have said – encouraging the primary challenger in 2022, when Harris is ready for re-election.
"I don't think it can last up to California," said Gary Hugh, a veteran strategist who advised Newsupom and former presidential candidate Joe Lieberman. "I do not wish her ill, but she made the decision to come here and get killed in her home country and it is damaging to your reputation nationwide. Or you step back from the basics, as Jerry Brown did in 1980 … and at least avoid the spectacle of being resolutely dismissed. “
Candidates should officially withdraw their names from the first ballot on March 3 in California by the end of December. But some have suggested that Harris could withdraw from the Iowa presidential race if she is poorly placed there – which would leave her on the ballot in California but allow her to justify the embarrassing shame of a distant finish in California by previously left the race.
The beating in California "could weaken the weakness … and may encourage some billionaires with visions," said Hugh, perhaps a cash-strapped business executive – even a wealthy activist like Tom Steyer, whose own presidential bid is considered long-standing and who has played in the past with the US Senate bid.
Interviews with half a dozen veteran democratic campaigners at an anonymous congress – many feared a senator would wander – echoed in the South.
"It is not happening," said one of the leading organizers of people working on the campaign floor, not talking about attribution. "She has her chances [to leave the race]… she should take it. "
"Of course, she should come out. But who's going to say it? "Agreed one leading Democratic strategist, who declined to comment on the minutes. Harris told insiders in California that he was determined to stay in the race through Iowa, said the strategist, who added that the real concern was reports of team members apparently starting to slide into each other and blaming the blame on various media.
Labor organizer Erin Lehan said Harris, who has been effective in recent days with his relentless reaction to the mass shooting in Santa Clarita, "should return it to DC and say – I will not leave until a comprehensive legal action is taken." Weapons Regulation Reality … she has to say that now that this has happened in my home country, I'll be here. & # 39; & # 39;
Newsom shook the headlines about Harris' breakup and said he was on the campaign trail to assess the situation – and was determined to help.
"I'm going to Iowa, I'll check it out first," he said. "And I'll say this: Polls don't vote, people vote … and the only poll that matters is Election Day."
Reminded that those well-run campaigns are largely accepting of candidates facing defeat, Newsmobile Gayley insisted the field remains fluid – but he acknowledged the uncertainty of Harris' path.
"Honestly … I really have no sense of what the pitch and momentum looks like," he said. "I live in a bubble with her because she is my friend … and we run away with all the volunteers and [campaign] shirts, and we feel good, ”he says. He recalled attending a recent fundraising meeting for Harris and said: "She was relaxed, I thought she did great, she feels good.
"She's too talented to be fired – she's too capable," he said. While publications are hyper-focused on race, voters are not "as focused as we believe they are … so I see a lot of movement and potential".
As she stood in the congress hall, dressed in a cap, fastened with the "Kamala Harris for the People" button on Friday, the provisional officer, Dennis Alvarez, a Southern California war veteran, said she was not underscored by media reports and wanted her fights to the very end
"I like that he wants to provide health care to everyone, but he respects our unions," Alvarez said. "She has the best plan … she cares about people." Alvarez dismissed polls in key early states like Iowa, saying they were blown out of proportion. "On [campaign volunteers] Say it will be great. & # 39; & # 39;
Kounalakis, Harris's insincere supporter, also blamed what he said was negative coverage of Harris's campaign.
"I don't think the press reports were very fair," she said. “She has an amazing leadership style. We love her. We support it … the presidential policy is tough, but it's tough enough to handle. "
She hopes to add: "At the very least, she will be our state senator for California for a long time."
David Doak, a veteran Democratic pollster who directed the presidential campaigns for Richard Gephardt and Odeo Biden, says despite her talent, Harris has fallen short of the wrong steps and has failed to effectively rationalize her escape.
"Presidential politics is a combination of how much people love you and want what you say – measured by sustainability," Doak said. "And her problem is now there are probably a lot of people out there who thought she would be a rocket – like me."
"But while you get these stories about your campaign not doing well and not showing up in polls, people who don't have a choice tend to line up with other people," he says. "It's chicken and egg work … if you don't have the viability, you don't get the votes."
Doak, who advised Senator Alan Cranston's failed presidential nomination in 1984, does not believe Harris is completely out of the picture – now or in the future.
"Is that a long-term activity? Yes, ”says Doak. "I think staying through Iowa will not hurt her. And honestly, she'll be forced to come out if she doesn't do well in Iowa and New Hampshire. "
But as for her future in the Senate, he said, "things are quickly forgotten."