In-depth modeling, issued on World Pneumonia Day, also shows that more than four million deaths – more than a third – can be easily prevented through joint action to improve rates of vaccination, treatment and nutrition.
Without the aid organization's forecast, they show that Nigeria, India, Pakistan and the Democratic Republic of the Congo will probably be the most burdened with death.
In Australia, Pneumonia usually afflicts the elderly. But the disease is the world's largest infectious killer, killing more than malaria, diarrhea and measles combined.
880,000 children, mostly under two years of age, died of disease in 2016. The last year in which full data is available.
Director of Save the Children Paul Ronalds said:
"The beggar believes that nearly one million children die each year because of a disease we have the knowledge and resources to overcome, a vaccine is available, and the course of antibiotics costs just 54 cents a AUD.
"There are no pink ribbons, global peaks, or pneumonia marches." But for anyone who cares for children's justice and their access to basic health care, this forgotten killer should be the defining cause of our age. "
Agency's forecasts are based on a model developed by scientists from Johns Hopkins University called Lives Saved Tool (LiST).
They show almost 11 million (10 825 728) children will die before 2030 due to current trends, with the highest death load in Nigeria (1 730 000), India (1 710 000), Pakistan (706,000) and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (635 000).
However, increasing the vaccination coverage to 90 percent of children under the age of five can save 610,000 lives; providing cheap antibiotics can save 1.9 million; and providing children with good nutrition can save 2.5 million.
If all three overlapping interventions were carried out by 2030, the Model suggests that a total of 4.1 million deaths could be prevented.
The year 2030 is the target date of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which include an ambitious global promise of "ending avoidable deaths of children" and the achievement of the Universal Health Union.
To save children from lethal diseases such as pneumonia, Save the Children wants to see:
- Prices of major vaccines against pneumonia have dramatically decreased to allow immunization of over 76 million infants
- The governments of low and middle income countries prioritize the building of strong health and nutrition systems that reach the most marginalized
- Donor governments, such as Australia, support countries to achieve universal health insurance.
Dr. Ellie Cannon, a family doctor with the British National Health Service (NHS), visited the Save the Children health programs in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), in which 50,000 children died of pneumonia in 2016.
Dr. Ellie Cannon talks to Dr. Jean-Serge Botali at Femi * 2, who was admitted to the hospital due to pneumonia and tuberculosis in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). See here for content.
Dr. Cannon said:
"It was shocking to see children dying of a disease that we can cure in Britain so easily, children come to the verge of hunger, their immune system weakened by malnutrition." Even if they get medical help, the doctors simply do not have basic means, such as like oxygen and antibiotics to treat them, they are medics with the same training as me. I could write a simple prescription or organize a quick X Ray. My medical colleagues in the DRC are forced to watch how children die. "
For detailed information, contact Alex Sampson on 0429 943 027