Jaap Jamin he worked at the Jellinek addiction clinic for 36 years. Jamin saw heroin slowly disappear from the epidemic in the 1980s, to the small role he now has. He also saw cocaine and Xtc as commonly used drugs. What is the future of our drug use?
Tobacco ends as a stimulant, an addiction expert predicts Wim van den Brink from UMC in Amsterdam. In the middle of the 20th century, about 80% of Dutch men smoked, but it dropped to 25% for both men and women. In the United States and Australia, the percentage of smokers has already dropped below 20 percent.
Wim van den Brink "The question is whether smoking falls below 15 percent. Nicotine is a very addictive drug. Of all those who smoke one cigarette, from 33 to 50 percent become addicted. With heroin, it's 20-30 percent. I expect that tobacco will be visible in 2040, because heroin is now: as a means for losers.
»Alcohol is becoming less and less popular. Shortly after the Second World War, an adult in the Netherlands drank about 3 liters of pure alcohol a year. In the eighties it increased to 9 liters, but since then it has dropped again to 7 liters. The fact that a bit of alcohol is healthy reveals the myth of the latest research. In fact, even small alcohol is bad. That's why alcohol will become less popular.»
However, we see many popular resources already in 2040, predicts a drug researcher Ton Nabben from the Bonger Institute at the University of Amsterdam.
Ton Nabben «Cocaine and XTC are others. I also anticipate the return of hallucinogenic drugs, but they will be used differently. For example, people will take lsd microdips. This is already happening in the Silicon Valley: employees use a small amount of LSD during working hours to become more creative. A long and intense journey, just like hippies did, enables creativity in the boss's time. Psychedelics will also be used for therapeutic applications. "
Wim van den Brink «Drugs are no longer against the establishment, as in the sixties and seventies. Drugs are no longer a means to fight against the generation. People look at it more realistically. Young people are now approaching drugs as a calculated risk. It became something like skiing: fun, but also dangerous. So if you do, you have to put on a helmet. "
futurologist Peter van der Wel He thinks that older people will also be able to micro-disseminate LSD because of their mental flexibility, but he also expects new medical inventions and increased free time to give new impetus to the desire to be stunned.
Peter van der Wel «There are brain implants that mimic the effects of drugs. Such inventions are used at the beginning to combat diseases, but then they are used for pleasant purposes. If the brain implant allows people to get rid of fear, such an implant is also used to induce pleasure and pleasure.
He makes the addiction expert Van den Brink (66) think about "Star Trek "but unreal, he has no views. "I just do not know if I will survive this period. "
Ton Nabben «With human cerebral implants, humanity approaches the Holy Grail. If you mimic the effects of drugs with electrical signals, you will no longer suffer from side effects. Thanks to this, you can induce a soothing euphoric cocaine effect in the club, and then you can sleep well at home, without sleep medication, which coke users often need. "
When people are constantly able to maximize pleasure and minimize pain, the question immediately arises: what does life represent? Is being with only attractions is fun or is it ultimately bored?
Ton Nabben «Personally, I would not choose life without falling down. It resembles "Brave New World", a novel by authorship Aldous Huxley where people take Soma. It gave a good effect, but it made people feel insensitive and indifferent to the world around them. Everyone will have to answer this question for themselves. "
According to futurologist Van der Wela, however, this is not certain.
Peter van der Wel "Modern technology allows other people or technology to make decisions for each person." For example, if everyone gets a brain implant controlled by government or algorithm, for example, people lose control of their own emotional life, it seems that the moment is far away, but we have to In 1975, everyone thought that it was impossible to imagine that the iron curtain fell in 1989. »
The fight does not work
These are big words that serve Ferdinand Grapperhaus Justice and Security in August spoke about the fight against the Dutch drug economy. "I think that this is one of the most important priorities for me as a minister who will be really difficult in the coming years before entering – he said. He also believes that it is "shameful" that, according to researchers from the Police Academy, the Netherlands produces 19 billion euros of synthetic drugs each year.