Researchers at Oxford University conducted a study to determine the chances that human civilization would end for natural reasons. The study concluded that in any given year, the chances of human beings disappearing for natural causes alone are 1 in 14,000.
About 99% of all species that existed in the world are now extinct. Although human activity has accelerated the disappearance of many species in recent years, natural causes have been the main cause of extinction.
Researchers have considered only natural causes or accidents that can destroy human civilization. For human beings to disappear, natural disasters must be large-scale. A surveillance channel or collision with an asteroid could lead us to extinction, as happened with dinosaurs. A near-explosion-induced explosion caused by the star's collapse will result in an increase in radiation that could destroy most lives on earth. A vacuum drop can travel through the universe at the speed of light, eradicating everything, including life on earth, along its path.
Taking into account these natural causes, the researchers concluded that human beings have 1 to 14,000 chances of becoming extinct each year.
1 out of 14,000 may seem like a rare chance. However, to put things in perspective, the chance of an individual getting caught by lightning is 1 in 700,000. The chance of an individual being attacked by a shark is 1 in 11.5m. The chance of an individual to win the National Lottery Jackpot is 1 in 45m. As more people live in fear of shark infestation, they should ideally be more concerned about the collapse of the entire human civilization.
The study only took into account the natural causes and accidents. The Sun noted that if the study took into account man-made causes, the chances of human extinction would be much higher. The study did not look at climate change, nuclear warfare and bio-chemical warfare, which could also kill people.
The Daily Mail cited another study conducted by a team from the University of Rochester in New York. Researchers have simulated societies known as "exo-civilizations", which are presumed to be highly advanced alien civilizations on other planets. Studying the most likely path of exo-civilizations, the researchers came to a morbid conclusion.
In all cases, exo-civilization has died, completely collapsed, or had a slight decline. In most cases, exo-civilization slowly died out and failed to recover. In some cases, there was a sudden catastrophic end to the life of the planet. In several cases, the population has steadily declined while only 30% of the population has remained viable on the planet.
Statistics from the study of exo-civilization as well as the study from Oxford University indicate that there is a high chance of human extinction in the coming years.