RIO DE JANEIRO, November 9, 2018. / PRNewswire / – Due to rainfall in Brazil awaiting October, the electricity bill for December will hardly come back to the red flag, General of the National Electricity Agency (Aneel), André Pepitone. "Turn around, I think, in the worst case, they will keep bile," he said.
Aneel may also consider accepting the green flag next month. The study will take into account the improvement in reservoir levels due to the amount of rainfall in Brazil in November. According to the general director of the regulatory authority, André Pepitone, wait a bit longer to assess some of the factors affecting the model that determines the color of the flag.
Factors include the level of storage and the GSF factor, which measures the level between the energy generated by the MRE generators and the sum of their physical guarantees. It is with this factor you assess how much energy will be allocated in each plant.
According to the general manager, the rains are good and they are within the expectations, they have to wait, because it's at the beginning of the month, but he added that the forecasts are good. "According to the water scenario we are experiencing today, it is beneficial, but we have to wait until we do the futurology exercise," he said.
Pepitone estimated that after 20 years you will be able to "have sensitivity with great precision" to define the color of the flag. Director General Aneel took part in the VIII Seminar on Matrix and Energy Security in Brazil and 14 Energy and Energy of Brazil, organized by the Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV) and the American Chamber of Commerce in Rio de Janeiro (AmCham Rio)
General Electric Systems Operator (ONS), Luiz Eduardo Barata, said he was very pleased with the amount of rainfall. According to Barata, until September the climatic conditions were very bad both in the north-east, the mid-west, and the southeast. The picture began to change in October.
In November, the expectations of climate institutes indicate a significant amount of rainfall in the Paranaíba River, which should also improve the conditions in the Tocantins River. "The Tocantins mills should start rising, and then signal that the rivers of the North, Madeira and Xingu will also have a good state," he said after taking part in the energy meeting.
Another forecast that encourages Barata is the El Niño phenomenon between moderate and weak. According to the Director General of the ONS this is positive, because it should be accompanied by rainfall in the average or slightly higher than in the north-east, while the forecast in the southern region is heavy rains.
"When we were in September, our prospect was to end the drying period in the range of 14% or 15% [dos reservatórios] in the south-east. In the Northeast, the forecast was to be over 20%, not because of rain, but mainly due to the flow control strategy. In the southeast, we have between 19% and 20%, mainly because it is still raining and is abundant in the south, if we arrived in June, July, August and September with the flow of energy from south-east to south, with In October we have a flow from the south southeast. It was a big differential, "he said.
Source: Agência Brasil – Empresa Brasil de Comunicação S / A – ECB